March and April Results and May Holdings

03/31/16 Shares
VGLT 385 80.41 30957.85 paid .161 3/1 added to cash Sell VGIT and Buy IAU for March
IAU 2543 11.88 30210.84
IGOV 333 97.19 32364.27
Cash 71.93 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
93604.89 1.03% 956.08 -6395.11

4/1/2016 START Shares
VNQ 370 83.8 31006.00 Sell VGLT and Buy VNQ on 4/1
IAU 2543 11.88 30210.84
IGOV 333 97.19 32364.27
Cash 23.78 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
93604.89 0.00% 0.00 -6395.11

4/30/2016 FINISH Shares
VNQ 370 81.83 30277.10
IAU 2543 12.47 31711.21
IGOV 333 98.81 32903.73 paid .13 on 4/1 added to cash
Cash 67.07 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
94959.11 1.45% 1354.22 -5040.89

OK, so we were up 1.03% in March and another 1.45% in April, finally some gains. Gold and the IGOV bond etf are responsible for most of that. No changes and still a Very interesting mix of ETFs for May, Real Estate, Treasury Bonds, and Gold…while the market is near all time highs. Very odd, but since this is a momentum strategy and the stock market has gone nowhere in the past year I understand why.

Good Luck in May.

January and February 2016 Updates

As expected the stock holdings we came into January with did not perform well at all as the portfolio was off 1.9% for the month. After January’s performance, the portfolio quickly flipped from 2 stock holdings in January to 3 bond holdings in February. So at the end of January, the portfolio looks like this:

01/31/16 Shares
MTUM 422 70.5 29751.00
VNQ 386 76.99 29718.14
0.00
Cash 31275.23 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
90744.37 -1.90% -1760.24 -9255.63

At the end of January we sold MTUM and VNQ and bought equal amounts of VGLT, IGOV, and VGIT, all bond holdings. So much for the Fed raising rates huh? This is how we started February:
02/1/16 Shares
VGLT 385 78.52 30230.20
VGIT 459 65.82 30211.38
IGOV 333 90.71 30206.43
Cash 96.36 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
90744.37 0.00% 0.00 -9255.63

…..and here is how we ended February:

02/29/16 Shares
VGLT 385 80.57 31019.45
VGIT 459 66.24 30404.16
IGOV 333 93.48 31128.84
Cash 96.36 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
92648.81 2.10% 1904.44 -7351.19

As you can see finally with stocks continuing down and bonds up the portfolio was up 2.1% for the month.

The are some changes for March though as Gold is starting to gain momentum. We are selling VGIT and buying IAU (gold) for March and the portfolio looks like this:
03/1/16 Shares
VGLT 385 80.57 31019.45
IAU 2543 11.99 30490.57
IGOV 333 93.48 31128.84
Cash 9.95 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
92648.81 0.00% 0.00 -7351.19

Good luck out there!

December and End of Year 2015 Update

The trendless market continues and as I mentioned in earlier posts, this portfolio is designed to profit in up trending markets and keep the investor out of declining markets/sectors.  Since we are going sideways there is just no way to profit.  The portfolio itself lost 0.35% in December and lost 7.5% for the year.  If I had done the AGG3 from day one it would have lost 3.69% over the course of the year but I started out with the AGG6 and that was the source of the additional losses.

A signal to sell VTV on 12/31 has left it 33% in cash with the other 66% in VNQ and MTUM.  If this market cracks all we can hope is that it doesnt loose it all in one month while we are still holding MTUM and VNQ.  This bull market seems to be worn out.  What is the next catalyst for growth?

 

Here’s how December finished:

12/31/15 Shares
MTUM 422 73.29 30928.38 paid .202148 $85.31
VNQ 386 78.5 30301.00 paid 1.098 $$423.83
VTV 374 81.52 30488.48 paid .588 $219.91 all3 added to cash
Cash 786.75 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
92504.61 -0.35% -320.79 -7495.39

 

 

Here is how the portfolio will look in January:

01/31/16 Shares
MTUM 422 73.29 30928.38
VNQ 386 78.5 30301.00
0.00
Cash 31275.23 Change Month $ Change Month All Time
92504.61 0.00% 0.00 -7495.39